Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
The Footlab model makes Deportes Iquique the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Curico Unido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique?
Deportes Iquique starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curico Unido have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Deportes Iquique have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Antofagasta(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Curico Unido win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Deportes Iquique win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Deportes Iquique 1-1 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Deportes Iquique 1-2 Curico Unido | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Curico Unido 1-0 Deportes Iquique | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Curico Unido 1-2 Deportes Iquique | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Deportes Iquique 0-0 Curico Unido | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Curico Unido 0-0 Deportes Iquique | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curico Unido score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Iquique score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportes Iquique | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curico Unido sit 13th in Primera B (23 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Iquique sit 11th (25 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Iquique the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Curico Unido.
- Where and when is Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique played?
- Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.