Match

Cobreloa vs Recoleta: prediction and stats

Primera BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama

CobreloaRecoleta

The Footlab AI model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cobreloa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

On Elo ratings, Cobreloa has 1,715 points and Recoleta 1,648.

50%28%22%
Cobreloa winDrawRecoleta win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cobreloa vs Recoleta

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cobreloa

4-2-1-3
  1. 11G. Gotti
  2. 22Á. Delgado
  3. 37J. Duma
  1. 21C. Muga
  2. 32F. Velazco
  3. 29J. Gatica
  1. 17D. Tapia
  2. 41Matias Tapia
  3. 8Lucas Cornejo
  4. 5R. González
  1. 1H. Araya

Recoleta

4-3-3
  1. 9G. Estigarribia
  2. 21G. Álvarez
  3. 20Carlos Gonzalez
  1. 19P. Sánchez
  2. 7B. Provoste
  3. 14I. Lara
  1. 16B. Viveros
  2. 11D. Viveros
  3. 5F. Alarcón
  4. 4F. Tomarelli
  1. 23Á. Salazar

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobreloa have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Recoleta have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cobreloa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Deportes Copiapo(away)1-2Primera B
Oct 7, 2026Coquimbo Unido(away)1-2Copa Chile
Oct 3, 2026Deportes Temuco(away)1-0Primera B
Sep 26, 2026Santiago Wanderers(home)1-0Primera B
Sep 22, 2026Coquimbo Unido(home)1-2Copa Chile
Recoleta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Magallanes(home)1-2Primera B
Oct 3, 2026Santiago Wanderers(home)2-1Primera B
Sep 14, 2026Deportes Santa Cruz(away)0-0Primera B
Sep 9, 2026San Marcos de Arica(home)2-1Primera B
Sep 6, 2026Antofagasta(away)2-1Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cobreloa wins, 1 draw, 0 Recoleta wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 21, 2026Recoleta 2-2 CobreloaPrimera B
Sep 14, 2025Cobreloa 4-0 RecoletaPrimera B
May 17, 2025Recoleta 0-1 CobreloaPrimera B
Sep 8, 2023Recoleta 1-2 CobreloaPrimera B
May 11, 2023Cobreloa 3-0 RecoletaPrimera B
Sep 15, 2022Recoleta 0-1 CobreloaPrimera B

Last archived meeting: Recoleta vs Cobreloa on May 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cobreloa score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Recoleta score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cobreloa1.31.268/157/15
Recoleta1.31.2311/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cobreloa sit 2nd in Primera B (48 points from 27 matches) and Recoleta sit 6th (41 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cobreloa271395452948
6Recoleta271188393641

A question about Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
The Footlab AI model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Recoleta.
Where and when is Cobreloa vs Recoleta played?
Cobreloa vs Recoleta is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cobreloa and Recoleta

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