Match

Cobreloa vs Recoleta: prediction and stats

Primera BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama

CobreloaRecoleta

The Footlab model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Cobreloa (1,706) and Recoleta (1,617).

Cobreloa win60 %
Draw23 %
Recoleta win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobreloa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Recoleta have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cobreloa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Union Espanola(home)0-1Primera B
Aug 16, 2026Union San Felipe(away)1-0Primera B
Aug 12, 2026Magallanes(away)2-2Primera B
Aug 8, 2026Deportes Iquique(home)1-1Primera B
Aug 1, 2026Curico Unido(away)0-0Primera B
Recoleta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Copiapo(home)2-1Primera B
Aug 18, 2026Deportes Temuco(away)1-1Primera B
Aug 12, 2026Rangers de Talca(home)4-2Primera B
Aug 8, 2026Union San Felipe(away)0-0Primera B
Aug 2, 2026D. Puerto Montt(home)0-1Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cobreloa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Recoleta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 21, 2026Recoleta 2-2 CobreloaPrimera B
Sep 14, 2025Cobreloa 4-0 RecoletaPrimera B
May 17, 2025Recoleta 0-1 CobreloaPrimera B
Sep 8, 2023Recoleta 1-2 CobreloaPrimera B
May 11, 2023Cobreloa 3-0 RecoletaPrimera B
Sep 15, 2022Recoleta 0-1 CobreloaPrimera B

Last archived meeting: Recoleta vs Cobreloa on May 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cobreloa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cobreloa1.71.359/157/15
Recoleta1.11.339/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cobreloa sit 1st in Primera B (38 points from 21 matches) and Recoleta sit 9th (30 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cobreloa211083382338
9Recoleta21867323130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
The Footlab model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Recoleta.
Where and when is Cobreloa vs Recoleta played?
Cobreloa vs Recoleta is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cobreloa and Recoleta

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