Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Union Espanola the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Deportes Copiapo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Union Espanola (1,655) and Deportes Copiapo (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Espanola have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Deportes Copiapo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cobreloa(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Antofagasta(home) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Union Espanola win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Deportes Copiapo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo 3-1 Union Espanola | Primera B |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Deportes Copiapo 2-3 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Union Espanola 5-3 Deportes Copiapo | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Deportes Copiapo 4-3 Union Espanola | Primera División |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Union Espanola 3-0 Deportes Copiapo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Copiapo vs Union Espanola on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Espanola score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Copiapo score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Espanola sit 5th in Primera B (34 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Copiapo sit 10th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo?
- The Footlab model makes Union Espanola the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Deportes Copiapo.
- Where and when is Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo played?
- Union Espanola vs Deportes Copiapo is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.