Match

Magallanes vs San Luis: prediction and stats

Primera BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Bernardo

MagallanesSan Luis

The Footlab model makes Magallanes the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for San Luis. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Magallanes vs San Luis?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Magallanes (1,639) and San Luis (1,645).

Magallanes win44 %
Draw25 %
San Luis win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magallanes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; San Luis have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Magallanes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Santa Cruz(home)1-0Primera B
Aug 15, 2026Rangers de Talca(away)3-2Primera B
Aug 12, 2026Cobreloa(home)2-2Primera B
Aug 9, 2026Deportes Temuco(away)4-3Primera B
Aug 2, 2026Union Espanola(home)3-2Primera B
San Luis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Santiago Wanderers(home)0-1Primera B
Aug 17, 2026Deportes Santa Cruz(away)2-0Primera B
Aug 13, 2026Deportes Temuco(home)1-1Primera B
Aug 9, 2026Deportes Copiapo(away)1-1Primera B
Jul 31, 2026Rangers de Talca(home)1-1Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Magallanes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Luis win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026San Luis 2-1 MagallanesPrimera B
Aug 8, 2025San Luis 0-1 MagallanesPrimera B
Mar 30, 2025Magallanes 1-0 San LuisPrimera B
Oct 19, 2024Magallanes 7-1 San LuisPrimera B
Jun 3, 2024San Luis 0-1 MagallanesPrimera B
Jul 9, 2022Magallanes 3-0 San LuisPrimera B

Last archived meeting: San Luis vs Magallanes on May 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Magallanes score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Luis score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Magallanes1.72.1211/1511/15
San Luis1.71.2410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Magallanes sit 3rd in Primera B (35 points from 21 matches) and San Luis sit 6th (32 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Magallanes211056373535
6San Luis20884312532

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Magallanes vs San Luis?
The Footlab model makes Magallanes the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for San Luis.
Where and when is Magallanes vs San Luis played?
Magallanes vs San Luis is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Magallanes and San Luis

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