Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe
The Footlab model makes Union San Felipe the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Deportes Temuco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Union San Felipe (1,551) and Deportes Temuco (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union San Felipe have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Deportes Temuco have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Magallanes(home) | 3-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 1-4 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Union San Felipe win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Deportes Temuco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Deportes Temuco 5-0 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Union San Felipe 1-0 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Deportes Temuco 2-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Deportes Temuco 4-0 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Union San Felipe 2-3 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Deportes Temuco 2-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Temuco vs Union San Felipe on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union San Felipe score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Temuco score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union San Felipe | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportes Temuco | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union San Felipe sit 14th in Primera B (20 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Temuco sit 12th (25 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco?
- The Footlab model makes Union San Felipe the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Deportes Temuco.
- Where and when is Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco played?
- Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.