Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Dagenham & Redbridge (1,850) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Dagenham & Redbridge | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026TorquayvsSlough Town
- Oct 10, 2026DovervsDorking Wanderers
- Oct 10, 2026BraintreevsTruro City
- Oct 10, 2026MaidenheadvsTonbridge Angels
- Oct 10, 2026Billericay TownvsFarnborough
- Oct 10, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsEbbsfleet United
- Oct 10, 2026Weston-super-MarevsFolkestone Invicta
- Oct 10, 2026Chesham UnitedvsChelmsford City