Match

Braintree vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex

BraintreeTruro City

The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Braintree vs Truro City?

Truro City starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,636).

Braintree win31 %
Draw29 %
Truro City win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Truro City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Truro City 2-3 BraintreeNational League
Jan 27, 2026Truro City 1-1 BraintreeNational League Cup
Nov 15, 2025Braintree 2-0 Truro CityNational League
Jan 27, 2024Truro City 1-2 BraintreeNational League - South
Aug 12, 2023Braintree 3-2 Truro CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Braintree on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15
Truro City1.00.674/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Truro City?
The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Braintree.
Where and when is Braintree vs Truro City played?
Braintree vs Truro City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Braintree and Truro City

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