Match

Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset

Weston-super-MareFolkestone Invicta

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,829).

Weston-super-Mare win34 %
Draw26 %
Folkestone Invicta win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weston-super-Mare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dover(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Torquay(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chesham United(home)3-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Gloucester City(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Folkestone Invicta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)5-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Welling United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Weston-super-Mare1.20.975/155/15
Folkestone Invicta2.11.5311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Weston-super-Mare4211837
12Folkestone Invicta3120735

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta?
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Weston-super-Mare.
Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta played?
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Weston-super-Mare and Folkestone Invicta

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