Where and when is Chesham United vs Chelmsford City played?

Chesham United vs Chelmsford City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chesham United vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham United

Chelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,825) and Chelmsford City (1,874).

Chesham United win40 %

Draw25 %

Chelmsford City win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Chesham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chelmsford City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United 0-2 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Aug 30, 2025	Chelmsford City 2-1 Chesham United	National League - South
Feb 1, 2025	Chelmsford City 1-1 Chesham United	National League - South
Jan 21, 2025	Chesham United 2-2 Chelmsford City	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Chelmsford City on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?: The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Chelmsford City played?: Chesham United vs Chelmsford City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.