Where and when is Dover vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

Dover

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Dorking Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,722).

Dover win31 %

Draw25 %

Dorking Wanderers win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dover win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 10, 2026	Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Dover	National League - South
Oct 21, 2025	Dover 2-2 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Dover on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Dover vs Dorking Wanderers is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.