Torquay vs Slough Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Slough Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Slough Town?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Slough Town have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dover(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slough Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Slough Town 1-5 Torquay | National League - South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Torquay 4-2 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Torquay 2-0 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Slough Town 2-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Torquay 3-4 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Slough Town 1-2 Torquay | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Slough Town vs Torquay on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Slough Town | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Slough Town sit 23rd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torquay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Slough Town?
- The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Slough Town.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Slough Town played?
- Torquay vs Slough Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsHemel Hempstead Town
- Oct 10, 2026DovervsDorking Wanderers
- Oct 10, 2026BraintreevsTruro City
- Oct 10, 2026MaidenheadvsTonbridge Angels
- Oct 10, 2026Billericay TownvsFarnborough
- Oct 10, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsEbbsfleet United
- Oct 10, 2026Weston-super-MarevsFolkestone Invicta
- Oct 10, 2026Chesham UnitedvsChelmsford City