Match

Hereford vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire

HerefordDarlington 1883

The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hereford vs Darlington 1883?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Hereford (1,793) and Darlington 1883 (1,777).

Hereford win42 %
Draw24 %
Darlington 1883 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hereford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Worksop Town(away)3-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Radcliffe(home)3-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Marine(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Buxton(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Darlington 1883
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Harborough Town(away)2-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chester(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Bedford Town(away)3-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Worksop Town(home)1-2National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Rotherham(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hereford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Darlington 1883 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2026Hereford 1-0 Darlington 1883National League - North
Sep 6, 2025Darlington 1883 1-1 HerefordNational League - North
Mar 8, 2025Hereford 0-2 Darlington 1883National League - North
Dec 10, 2024Darlington 1883 2-1 HerefordNational League - North
Jan 27, 2024Darlington 1883 2-0 HerefordNational League - North
Aug 12, 2023Hereford 1-0 Darlington 1883National League - North

Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Darlington 1883 on Feb 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hereford1.51.158/159/15
Darlington 18831.12.229/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hereford4301829
19Darlington 18834103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Darlington 1883?
The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Darlington 1883.
Where and when is Hereford vs Darlington 1883 played?
Hereford vs Darlington 1883 is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hereford and Darlington 1883

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