Darlington 1883 vs Hebburn Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Hebburn Town?
Hebburn Town starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Hebburn Town have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southport(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blyth Spartans(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Darlington 1883 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hebburn Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | Hebburn Town 1-3 Darlington 1883 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hebburn Town vs Darlington 1883 on Jul 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hebburn Town score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hebburn Town | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darlington 1883 sit 19th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Hebburn Town sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Hebburn Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Hebburn Town played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Hebburn Town is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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