Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Darlington 1883 (1,781) and Scarborough Athletic (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Darlington 1883 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Scarborough Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883 1-2 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 0-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 1-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Darlington 1883 4-3 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Darlington 1883 0-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Scarborough Athletic 2-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darlington 1883 sit 19th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.