South Shields vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)1st Cloud Arena, South Shields, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Shields vs Darlington 1883?
South Shields starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Shields have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 South Shields win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Darlington 1883 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | South Shields 0-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Darlington 1883 1-2 South Shields | National League - North |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Darlington 1883 1-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Jan 1, 2025 | South Shields 0-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Feb 17, 2024 | South Shields 0-4 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Darlington 1883 2-2 South Shields | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Darlington 1883 on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Shields sit 5th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Shields vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is South Shields vs Darlington 1883 played?
- South Shields vs Darlington 1883 is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 1st Cloud Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.