Radcliffe vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neuven Stadium, Radcliffe, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radcliffe vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Radcliffe (1,705) and Spennymoor Town (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radcliffe have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Radcliffe win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 2-3 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Radcliffe 0-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 3-2 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Radcliffe 2-4 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Radcliffe 0-1 Spennymoor Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Radcliffe on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radcliffe sit 21st in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radcliffe vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Radcliffe vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Radcliffe vs Spennymoor Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Neuven Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.