Marine vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Marine the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marine wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marine vs Southport?
On Elo ratings, Marine has 1,751 points and Southport 1,672.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marine vs Southport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marine
Not enough data to predict the Marine lineup.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Southport have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-7 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-5 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marine wins, 1 draw, 3 Southport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Southport 2-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Marine 4-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Marine 1-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Southport 0-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Southport 2-0 Marine | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Marine 0-1 Southport | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Marine score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marine sit 20th in National League - North (16 points from 14 matches) and Southport sit 23rd (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 23 | Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 10 |
A question about Marine vs Southport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marine vs Southport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marine the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Southport.
- Where and when is Marine vs Southport played?
- Marine vs Southport is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.