Macclesfield vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macclesfield vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Macclesfield (1,937) and Buxton (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Macclesfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Buxton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Buxton 2-4 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Macclesfield 0-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Macclesfield 2-0 Buxton | FA Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Buxton 0-3 Macclesfield | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Macclesfield on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Buxton?
- The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Macclesfield vs Buxton played?
- Macclesfield vs Buxton is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.