Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi
The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Buducnost Podgorica. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Dečić (1,545) and Buducnost Podgorica (1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dečić have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Buducnost Podgorica have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dečić win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Buducnost Podgorica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica 0-2 Dečić | First League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Dečić 0-0 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Dečić | First League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Dečić 1-0 Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Dečić 3-2 Buducnost Podgorica | Cup |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Buducnost Podgorica 2-0 Dečić | First League |
Last archived meeting: Buducnost Podgorica vs Dečić on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dečić score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Buducnost Podgorica score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dečić | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dečić sit 1st in First League (10 points from 4 matches) and Buducnost Podgorica sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dečić | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Buducnost Podgorica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica?
- The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Buducnost Podgorica.
- Where and when is Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica played?
- Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.