Sutjeska vs Bokelj: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kraj Bistrice, Nikšić
The Footlab model makes Sutjeska the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Bokelj. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutjeska vs Bokelj?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Sutjeska (1,528) and Bokelj (1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutjeska have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bokelj have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sutjeska win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bokelj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bokelj 1-0 Sutjeska | First League |
| May 2, 2026 | Bokelj 2-3 Sutjeska | First League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sutjeska 2-1 Bokelj | First League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sutjeska 1-0 Bokelj | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bokelj 4-5 Sutjeska | First League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sutjeska 5-2 Bokelj | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sutjeska score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bokelj score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutjeska | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bokelj | 0.9 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutjeska sit 10th in First League (1 points from 4 matches) and Bokelj sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bokelj | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sutjeska | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutjeska vs Bokelj?
- The Footlab model makes Sutjeska the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Bokelj.
- Where and when is Sutjeska vs Bokelj played?
- Sutjeska vs Bokelj is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kraj Bistrice, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.