Mladost DG vs Jezero: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)DG Arena, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Mladost DG the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Jezero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Jezero?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Mladost DG (1,450) and Jezero (1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost DG have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Jezero have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 5-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mladost DG win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Jezero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jezero 1-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Jezero 2-2 Mladost DG | First League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mladost DG 3-1 Jezero | First League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Mladost DG 0-2 Jezero | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Jezero 1-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Mladost DG 0-1 Jezero | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost DG score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jezero score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Jezero | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost DG sit 8th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Jezero sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jezero | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mladost DG | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost DG vs Jezero?
- The Footlab model makes Mladost DG the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Jezero.
- Where and when is Mladost DG vs Jezero played?
- Mladost DG vs Jezero is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at DG Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.