Den Bosch vs Heracles: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Heracles?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Heracles have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Den Bosch win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Heracles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles 3-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Heracles 3-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Den Bosch 1-2 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Den Bosch 1-2 Heracles | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Heracles vs Den Bosch on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Heracles score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Heracles | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Heracles sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs Heracles?
- The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs Heracles played?
- Den Bosch vs Heracles is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.