NAC Breda vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Jong AZ?
On Elo ratings, NAC Breda has 1,762 points and Jong AZ 1,688.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NAC Breda vs Jong AZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 NAC Breda wins, 0 draws, 1 Jong AZ win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-3 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2023 | NAC Breda 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | NAC Breda 5-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Jong AZ 4-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Jong AZ 0-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 15, 2021 | NAC Breda 1-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (17 points from 10 matches) and Jong AZ sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
A question about NAC Breda vs Jong AZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Jong AZ played?
- NAC Breda vs Jong AZ is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.