NAC Breda vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Jong AZ?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate NAC Breda (1,792) and Jong AZ (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFI(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 NAC Breda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jong AZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-3 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2023 | NAC Breda 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | NAC Breda 5-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Jong AZ 4-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Jong AZ 0-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 15, 2021 | NAC Breda 1-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 7th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and Jong AZ sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Jong AZ played?
- NAC Breda vs Jong AZ is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.