Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht?
Vitesse starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,553).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 16P. Dahbo
- 34Y. Ouallil
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 2S. Bonnah
- 1C. van den Berg
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 11E. C. Owen
- 7Bjorn Menzo
- 9N. Dundas
- 6F. Pohl
- 18D. Laaouina
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 14W. Kooy
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 1M. Eppink
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Vitesse wins, 0 draws, 0 Jong Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-3 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 0-3 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Vitesse 2-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 0-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Vitesse 2-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 6th in Eerste Divisie (17 points from 11 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.