Vitesse vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Vitesse (1,706) and VVV Venlo (1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs VVV Venlo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 16P. Dahbo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 24N. Markelo
- 1C. van den Berg
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 16P. Heise
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; VVV Venlo have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vitesse wins, 2 draws, 1 VVV Venlo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Vitesse 2-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | VVV Venlo 1-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Vitesse 1-4 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2024 | VVV Venlo 0-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Vitesse 2-2 VVV Venlo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Vitesse 2-0 VVV Venlo | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Vitesse vs VVV Venlo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs VVV Venlo played?
- Vitesse vs VVV Venlo is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.