Den Bosch vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Den Bosch (1,686) and Vitesse (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al-Jazira(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Den Bosch win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vitesse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Den Bosch 2-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Vitesse 1-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| May 9, 2025 | Vitesse 3-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Den Bosch 4-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 7th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Vitesse sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs Vitesse played?
- Den Bosch vs Vitesse is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.