Den Bosch vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs MVV?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Den Bosch (1,686) and MVV (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; MVV have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Den Bosch win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 MVV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Den Bosch 1-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | MVV 2-4 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MVV 5-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2024 | MVV 2-1 Den Bosch | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Den Bosch 1-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | MVV 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| MVV | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and MVV sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs MVV?
- The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for MVV.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs MVV played?
- Den Bosch vs MVV is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.