Den Bosch vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If Den Bosch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs MVV?
On Elo ratings, Den Bosch has 1,645 points and MVV 1,595.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Den Bosch vs MVV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
MVV
4-2-3-1- 9T. Vinogradac
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; MVV have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Den Bosch win, 1 draw, 4 MVV wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Den Bosch 1-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | MVV 2-4 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MVV 5-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2024 | MVV 2-1 Den Bosch | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Den Bosch 1-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | MVV 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| MVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 14th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and MVV sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Den Bosch vs MVV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs MVV?
- The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for MVV.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs MVV played?
- Den Bosch vs MVV is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.