Vitesse vs Emmen: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Emmen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Emmen?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Vitesse (1,730) and Emmen (1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Emmen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-4-2- 9N. Bannis
- 19J. Hilterman
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 24N. Markelo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 14O. Achouitar
- 55M. Steffen
- 1C. van den Berg
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 6C. Staring
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 7T. Rhein
- 12F. Quispel
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 2J. Mukeh
- 1S. Karssies
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Emmen have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 5-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vitesse wins, 3 draws, 0 Emmen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Vitesse 3-3 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Emmen 2-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Vitesse 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Emmen 3-3 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Emmen 2-2 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Vitesse 2-1 Emmen | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 9 matches) and Emmen sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Vitesse vs Emmen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Emmen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Emmen.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Emmen played?
- Vitesse vs Emmen is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.