Depor FC vs Quindio: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes Quindio the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Depor FC. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Depor FC vs Quindio?
Quindio starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,604 vs 1,349).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Depor FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Quindio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| May 30, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-8 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Depor FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Quindio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Quindio 2-1 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Quindio 2-1 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Depor FC 0-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Quindio 2-2 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Depor FC 0-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Depor FC 2-2 Quindio | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Depor FC score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Quindio score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FC | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Quindio | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Depor FC sit 15th in Primera B (9 points from 15 matches) and Quindio sit 4th (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Quindio | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 46 |
| 9 | Quindio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Depor FC | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Depor FC vs Quindio?
- The Footlab model makes Quindio the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Depor FC.
- Where and when is Depor FC vs Quindio played?
- Depor FC vs Quindio is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.