Envigado vs Barranquilla: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Barranquilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Envigado wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Envigado vs Barranquilla?
Envigado starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,597 vs 1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Envigado vs Barranquilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Envigado
4-3-3- 77D. Valencia
- 7D. Dawson
- 9Ángelo Rodríguez
- 6J. Palacios
- 99Miguel Marulanda
- 19S. Acuña
- 28J. Gamboa
- 15G. Cuervo
- 17Y. Rodallega
- 2D. Palacios
- 88A. Tovar
Barranquilla
4-3-3- 23P. Oviedo
- 8M. Bolivar
- 36J. Navia
- 21Alberto Orozco
- 31D. Mendoza
- 19C. Peñate
- 4E. Herazo
- 20J. Cortez
- 27N. Uribe
- 2Y. Moya
- 1S. Guerra
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Envigado have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Barranquilla have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-3 | Primera B |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orsomarso(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Quindio(home) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Soacha(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Envigado wins, 0 draws, 0 Barranquilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Barranquilla 1-2 Envigado | Primera B |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Envigado 2-1 Barranquilla | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Barranquilla vs Envigado on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Envigado score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barranquilla score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Barranquilla | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Envigado sit 2nd in Primera B (57 points from 35 matches) and Barranquilla sit 9th (38 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Envigado | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 57 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 44 | 38 |
A question about Envigado vs Barranquilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Envigado vs Barranquilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Barranquilla.
- Where and when is Envigado vs Barranquilla played?
- Envigado vs Barranquilla is played on October 20, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.