Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ind. Yumbo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Popayan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ind. Yumbo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Ind. Yumbo (1,578) and Popayan (1,498).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ind. Yumbo
4-3-3- 11L. Farías
- 9A. García
- 5J. Díaz
- 20J. Rubiano
- 8T. Diaz
- 17L. Quiñones
- 4J. Rodriguez
- 27J. Ampudia
- 2J. Lozano
- 3D. Ferrer
- 22J. Méndez
Popayan
4-3-3- 18H. Mosquera
- 7J. Cuero
- 10M. Aponza
- 17J. Andrade
- 34D. Cortes
- 21W. Arango
- 3Kevin Hurtado
- 35J. Viveros
- 6L. Pérez
- 26H. Ortiz
- 12E. Obando
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ind. Yumbo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Popayan have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tigres FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Orsomarso(home) | 4-3 | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Patriotas(home) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ind. Yumbo wins, 1 draw, 0 Popayan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Popayan 0-0 Ind. Yumbo | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ind. Yumbo score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Popayan score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ind. Yumbo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Popayan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ind. Yumbo sit 7th in Primera B (43 points from 27 matches) and Popayan sit 12th (31 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 43 |
| 12 | Popayan | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 35 | 31 |
A question about Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ind. Yumbo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Popayan.
- Where and when is Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan played?
- Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan is played on October 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.