Tigres FC vs Real Soacha: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Real Soacha. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Real Soacha?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Tigres FC (1,487) and Real Soacha (1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Real Soacha have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tigres FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Soacha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Soacha 0-2 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tigres FC 0-2 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Real Soacha 1-1 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Real Soacha 1-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Tigres FC 1-0 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Real Soacha 2-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Real Soacha vs Tigres FC on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Soacha score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Real Soacha | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres FC sit 8th in Primera B (20 points from 15 matches) and Real Soacha sit 13th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Soacha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Soacha | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres FC vs Real Soacha?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Real Soacha.
- Where and when is Tigres FC vs Real Soacha played?
- Tigres FC vs Real Soacha is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.