Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco?
Sestao River starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,002 vs 1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestao River
4-4-2- 8Ander Laka
- 17A. Bengoetxea
- 6Eneko Delgado
- 20Adri Carrión
- 23I. Legu
- 10Pau Miguélez
- 22Markel Etxeberría
- 5Andoni Ugarte
- 3Gorri
- 15G. Argente
- 26Nistal Recalde Pablo
Marino de Luanco
Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Marino de Luanco have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 4-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sestao River win, 0 draws, 0 Marino de Luanco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco 0-1 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sestao River score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sestao River sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (19 points from 8 matches) and Marino de Luanco sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco played?
- Sestao River vs Marino de Luanco is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.