Deportivo Español vs Fénix: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nueva España, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Español the favourite at 48%, against 36% for a draw and 16% for Fénix. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Fénix?
Deportivo Español starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Español have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Fénix have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lujan(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 7, 2026 | General Lamadrid(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Yupanqui(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Español win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Fénix win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Fénix 1-0 Deportivo Español | Primera C |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Deportivo Español 0-3 Fénix | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Fénix 1-2 Deportivo Español | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Fénix 2-0 Deportivo Español | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Deportivo Español 1-1 Fénix | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 12, 2017 | Fénix 1-1 Deportivo Español | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Fénix vs Deportivo Español on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Español score 0.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fénix score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 18% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Español | 0.5 | 0.3 | 11 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
| Fénix | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Español sit 5th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and Fénix sit 12th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Deportivo Español | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 35 |
| 12 | Fénix | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Español vs Fénix?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Español the favourite at 48%, against 36% for a draw and 16% for Fénix.
- Where and when is Deportivo Español vs Fénix played?
- Deportivo Español vs Fénix is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nueva España, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 18% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Central CordobavsEl Porvenir
- Sep 5, 2026Atletico AtlasvsGeneral Lamadrid
- Sep 5, 2026CanuelasvsLujan
- Sep 5, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsArgentino Rosario
- Sep 5, 2026JJ UrquizavsJuventud Unida
- Sep 5, 2026BerazateguivsEstrella Del Sur
- Sep 5, 2026Centro EspañolvsSacachispas
- Sep 5, 2026ClaypolevsCentral Ballester