Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Dock Sud starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituzaingó have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Dock Sud have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 2-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 4-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ituzaingó win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dock Sud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Dock Sud 3-0 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Ituzaingó 1-0 Dock Sud | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 28, 2023 | Dock Sud 0-2 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Dock Sud 1-4 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Ituzaingó 1-0 Dock Sud | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Ituzaingó 1-0 Dock Sud | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Dock Sud vs Ituzaingó on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dock Sud score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituzaingó | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Dock Sud | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ituzaingó sit 22nd in Primera B Metropolitana (9 points from 21 matches) and Dock Sud sit 15th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dock Sud | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 37 |
| 15 | Dock Sud | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 23 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 36 | 9 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
- The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Ituzaingó.
- Where and when is Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud played?
- Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsSportivo Italiano
- Aug 29, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsLiniers
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsReal Pilar
- Aug 29, 2026Talleres RemediosvsUAI Urquiza
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Aug 29, 2026Arsenal SarandivsExcursionistas
- Aug 29, 2026FlandriavsSan Martín Burzaco
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsVilla San Carlos