Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo Merlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Deportivo Merlo (1,620) and Dock Sud (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Merlo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Dock Sud have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 2-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 4-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Merlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Dock Sud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Dock Sud 1-1 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Dock Sud 1-1 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 31, 2025 | Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Dock Sud | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Dock Sud 0-1 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Deportivo Merlo 3-0 Dock Sud | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 9, 2023 | Dock Sud 1-2 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Dock Sud vs Deportivo Merlo on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dock Sud score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dock Sud | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Merlo sit 8th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Dock Sud sit 15th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Merlo | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 39 |
| 13 | Dock Sud | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 37 |
| 15 | Dock Sud | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?
- The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo Merlo.
- Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud played?
- Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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