Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Ramos, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Comunicaciones the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Merlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Comunicaciones (1,675) and Deportivo Merlo (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comunicaciones have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Merlo have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Liniers(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Comunicaciones win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Merlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo 2-0 Comunicaciones | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Comunicaciones 1-2 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Deportivo Merlo 0-2 Comunicaciones | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Comunicaciones 2-0 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Comunicaciones | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Deportivo Merlo 1-1 Comunicaciones | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Merlo vs Comunicaciones on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Comunicaciones score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comunicaciones | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Merlo | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comunicaciones sit 9th in Primera B Metropolitana (30 points from 20 matches) and Deportivo Merlo sit 8th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Merlo | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 31 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 30 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo?
- The Footlab model makes Comunicaciones the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Merlo.
- Where and when is Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo played?
- Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Ramos, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026ItuzaingóvsDock Sud
- Aug 29, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsLiniers
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Aug 29, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsSportivo Italiano
- Aug 29, 2026Arsenal SarandivsExcursionistas
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsReal Pilar
- Aug 29, 2026Talleres RemediosvsUAI Urquiza
- Aug 29, 2026FlandriavsSan Martín Burzaco