Where and when is Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Deportivo Moron

Ciudad de Bolívar

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Ciudad de Bolívar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Deportivo Moron (1,839) and Ciudad de Bolívar (1,770).

Deportivo Moron win62 %

Draw24 %

Ciudad de Bolívar win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Moron have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ciudad de Bolívar have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Moron
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	San Telmo(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Almagro(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Acassuso(home)	4-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Chaco For Ever(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Ferro Carril Oeste(home)	4-0	Primera Nacional

Ciudad de Bolívar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Racing Cordoba(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Agropecuario(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Almirante Brown(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Deportivo Moron win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 13, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar 1-2 Deportivo Moron	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Moron	1.7	1.0	5	7/15	8/15
Ciudad de Bolívar	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Moron sit 2nd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 25 matches) and Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th (35 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Deportivo Moron	25	13	6	6	41	24	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	26	8	11	7	22	23	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Ciudad de Bolívar.
Where and when is Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?: Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.