Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Guillermo Laza, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Union Santa Fe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Deportivo Riestra (1,805) and Union Santa Fe (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Riestra have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Union Santa Fe have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 1-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Lorenzo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lanus(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Deportivo Riestra win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Union Santa Fe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Union Santa Fe 2-0 Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Union Santa Fe 0-0 Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Riestra score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Union Santa Fe score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Union Santa Fe | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Riestra sit 15th in Liga Profesional Argentina (11 points from 16 matches) and Union Santa Fe sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Union Santa Fe.
- Where and when is Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe played?
- Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Guillermo Laza, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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