Derby vs Nottingham Forest: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Nottingham Forest?
Derby won 1-0 on March 13, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 90′Jake BuxtonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | Watford(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2012 | Blackpool(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2012 | Leicester(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2012 | Doncaster(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Coventry(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Nottingham Forest 1-2 Derby | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Derby on Sep 17, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy