Diambars vs HLM: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Fodé Wade, Saly
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 36% for Diambars, 37% for a draw, 27% for HLM. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diambars vs HLM?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Diambars (1,565) and HLM (1,586).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diambars vs HLM
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diambars
4-3-3- 10M. Diaw
- 11B. Mboup
- 30S. Manga
- 5I. Boye
- 21C. Bodian
- 27Mouhamed Guèye I
- 24B. Sané
- 4B. Diallo
- 13C. Faye
- 25C. Diouf
- 1E. Sakho
HLM
Not enough data to predict the HLM lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diambars have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; HLM have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Essamaye(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Génération Foot(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | DSC(away) | 2-7 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Casa Sport(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Pikine(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | Sonacos(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Génération Foot(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | La Linguère(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Diambars score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; HLM score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diambars | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| HLM | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | HLM | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 33 |
A question about Diambars vs HLM?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diambars vs HLM?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 36% for Diambars, 37% for a draw, 27% for HLM.
- Where and when is Diambars vs HLM played?
- Diambars vs HLM is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Fodé Wade, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.