Match

Pikine vs Essamaye: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Alassane Djigo, Pikine

PikineEssamaye

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 31% for Pikine, 39% for a draw, 30% for Essamaye. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pikine vs Essamaye?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Pikine (1,589) and Essamaye (1,576).

31%39%30%
Pikine winDrawEssamaye win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pikine vs Essamaye

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pikine

Not enough data to predict the Pikine lineup.

Essamaye

Not enough data to predict the Essamaye lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pikine have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Essamaye have 0, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pikine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Génération Foot(away)0-3Ligue 1
Jun 4, 2026HLM(away)1-2Ligue 1
May 22, 2026AS Camberene(home)1-2Ligue 1
May 17, 2026Casa Sport(away)0-1Ligue 1
May 13, 2026Jaraaf(home)0-0Ligue 1
Essamaye
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Diambars(home)0-1Ligue 1

How many goals should we expect?

Pikine score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Essamaye score 0.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pikine0.71.163/155/15
Essamaye0.01.000/10/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
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A question about Pikine vs Essamaye?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pikine vs Essamaye?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 31% for Pikine, 39% for a draw, 30% for Essamaye.
Where and when is Pikine vs Essamaye played?
Pikine vs Essamaye is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Alassane Djigo, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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