Ouakam vs Jaraaf: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Demba Diop
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Ouakam, 39% for a draw, 28% for Jaraaf. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ouakam vs Jaraaf?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ouakam (1,664) and Jaraaf (1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ouakam vs Jaraaf
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ouakam
Not enough data to predict the Ouakam lineup.
Jaraaf
4-4-1-1- 8I. Kane
- 30A. Faty
- 6M. Saër Guèye
- 20A. Oualy
- 10M. Koïté
- 26M. Ben Ahmed Ba
- 9F. Fall
- 21J. Bocandé
- 3A. Diédhiou
- 4M. Guey
- 24C. Lo Ndoye
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ouakam have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Jaraaf have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Sonacos(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | Génération Foot(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | La Linguère(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | Gorée(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Guédiawaye(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AJEL(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | AS Camberene(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | Casa Sport(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | DSC(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | Pikine(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ouakam wins, 3 draws, 1 Jaraaf win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Jaraaf 0-0 Ouakam | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ouakam 1-0 Jaraaf | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Ouakam 1-1 Jaraaf | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Jaraaf 1-0 Ouakam | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | Ouakam 2-1 Jaraaf | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Jaraaf 0-0 Ouakam | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ouakam score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jaraaf score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ouakam | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Jaraaf | 0.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ouakam sit 6th in Ligue 1 (42 points from 30 matches) and Jaraaf sit 7th (41 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ouakam | 30 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 42 |
| 7 | Jaraaf | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
A question about Ouakam vs Jaraaf?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ouakam vs Jaraaf?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Ouakam, 39% for a draw, 28% for Jaraaf.
- Where and when is Ouakam vs Jaraaf played?
- Ouakam vs Jaraaf is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Demba Diop, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.