Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk: prediction and stats
CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Barnaul
The Footlab model makes Irtysh Omsk the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Dinamo Barnaul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Dinamo Barnaul (1,586) and Irtysh Omsk (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Barnaul have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Irtysh Omsk have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Akron II(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(away) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ural II(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(away) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-6 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dinamo Barnaul win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Irtysh Omsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2022 | Dinamo Barnaul 2-1 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Irtysh Omsk 2-1 Dinamo Barnaul | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Irtysh Omsk 2-0 Dinamo Barnaul | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Dinamo Barnaul 1-1 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Irtysh Omsk 1-2 Dinamo Barnaul | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2019 | Irtysh Omsk 3-0 Dinamo Barnaul | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk on Oct 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Barnaul score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Irtysh Omsk score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Barnaul | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Irtysh Omsk | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk?
- The Footlab model makes Irtysh Omsk the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Dinamo Barnaul.
- Where and when is Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk played?
- Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk is played on August 27, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026Avangard Kursk1-2Kaluga
- Aug 25, 2026Ryazan1-1FK Spartak Tambov
- Aug 25, 2026Torpedo Vladimir0-0Znamya Noginsk
- Aug 25, 2026Dinamo Kirov4-4Amkar
- Aug 26, 2026NostavsFK Sokol Saratov
- Aug 26, 2026KDVvsChertanovo Moscow
- Aug 26, 2026Torpedo MiassvsVolna Nizhegorodskaya
- Aug 26, 2026Dinamo StavropolvsAstrakhan