Dinamo Samarqand vs Bunyodkor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Samarqand
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Samarqand the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bunyodkor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Samarqand vs Bunyodkor?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Dinamo Samarqand (1,727) and Bunyodkor (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Samarqand have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bunyodkor have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Xorazm(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 3-4 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olmaliq(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Buxoro(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dinamo Samarqand win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bunyodkor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Bunyodkor 1-2 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bunyodkor 1-3 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Dinamo Samarqand 0-3 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Dinamo Samarqand 2-3 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Bunyodkor 0-0 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Dinamo Samarqand 1-2 Bunyodkor | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Bunyodkor vs Dinamo Samarqand on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Samarqand score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bunyodkor score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Samarqand | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Bunyodkor | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Samarqand sit 13th in Super League (11 points from 11 matches) and Bunyodkor sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarqand | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 27 | 19 |
| 13 | Dinamo Samarqand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Samarqand vs Bunyodkor?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Samarqand the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bunyodkor.
- Where and when is Dinamo Samarqand vs Bunyodkor played?
- Dinamo Samarqand vs Bunyodkor is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.