Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
The Footlab AI model makes Neftchi the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Dinamo Samarqand. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,242 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Neftchi starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Neftchi
4-3-3- 9K. Giyosov
- 22Alisher Odilov
- 7A. Ismailov
- 77Ratinho
- 5I. Alibaev
- 10J. Iskanderov
- 52K. Kouao
- 15N. Abduganiyev
- 4B. Ciger
- 34F. Sayfiyev
- 1B. Ergashev
Dinamo Samarqand
4-3-3- 37F. Abdurahmonov
- 10A. Hojimirzaev
- 44A. Khaydarov
- 8A. Amonov
- 24Akbar Khudoyberdiev
- 30H. Hajdarević
- 3M. Ștefan
- 20J. Jumaboyev
- 2A. Radayev
- 17S. Mustafoyev
- 27E. Nemanov
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Samarqand have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Xorazm(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Qizilqum(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Neftchi wins, 1 draw, 0 Dinamo Samarqand wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand 0-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Neftchi 2-1 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Dinamo Samarqand 0-2 Neftchi | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Neftchi 3-2 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Dinamo Samarqand 0-1 Neftchi | Super League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Neftchi 4-1 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Samarqand score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 2.1 | 1.5 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Samarqand | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (58 points from 25 matches) and Dinamo Samarqand sit 10th (30 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 58 |
| 10 | Dinamo Samarqand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 30 |
A question about Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand?
- The Footlab AI model makes Neftchi the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Dinamo Samarqand.
- Where and when is Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand played?
- Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Istiqlol, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.