Navbahor vs Neftchi: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Namangan
The Footlab AI model makes Navbahor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Neftchi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navbahor wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,850 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navbahor vs Neftchi?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Navbahor (1,775) and Neftchi (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Navbahor vs Neftchi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Navbahor
4-3-3- 11H. Norchaev
- 23V. Ilić
- 22U. Adhamzoda
- 8D. Kholmatov
- 30Jasurbek Jaloliddinov
- 13B. Teidi
- 55M. Khamraliev
- 4I. Mamatkazin
- 34G. Jgerenaia
- 21A. Rahimjonov
- 1U. Yusupov
Neftchi
4-2-3-1- 88M. Forss
- 77Ratinho
- 22Alisher Odilov
- 10J. Iskanderov
- 8V. Jovović
- 5I. Alibaev
- 4B. Ciger
- 34F. Sayfiyev
- 52K. Kouao
- 15N. Abduganiyev
- 1B. Ergashev
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navbahor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Neftchi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Gazalkent(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Tractor Sazi(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 4-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Navbahor win, 3 draws, 2 Neftchi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Neftchi 1-1 Navbahor | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Navbahor 0-1 Neftchi | Super League |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Navbahor 1-1 Neftchi | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Neftchi 3-2 Navbahor | Super League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Neftchi 2-2 Navbahor | Super League |
| May 19, 2024 | Navbahor 1-0 Neftchi | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Navbahor score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navbahor | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Neftchi | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Navbahor sit 3rd in Super League (52 points from 26 matches) and Neftchi sit 1st (58 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 52 |
A question about Navbahor vs Neftchi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navbahor vs Neftchi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navbahor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Neftchi.
- Where and when is Navbahor vs Neftchi played?
- Navbahor vs Neftchi is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.