Nasaf vs Mash'al: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Qarshi
The Footlab AI model makes Nasaf the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Mash'al. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nasaf vs Mash'al?
Nasaf is a heavy favourite: 1,769 Elo points against 1,439, a 330-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nasaf vs Mash'al
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nasaf
3-4-2-1- 10B. Abdukholikov
- 8Z. Abdurahmatov
- 15O. Rustamov
- 70A. Gulomov
- 7A. Shala
- 14S. Muhitdinov
- 17M. Rahmatov
- 92U. Eshmurodov
- 5G. G'aybullaev
- 4A. Komilov
- 1A. Ne'matov
Mash'al
4-3-3- 11M. Jurabaev
- 9I. Ganikhonov
- 10K. Murtazaev
- 8S. Abduraymov
- 5K. Tozhidinov
- 28E. Ismoilov
- 70Azizbek Choriyev
- 2Zafar Akramov
- 19Tokhirbek To'khtasinov
- 99B. Askarov
- 35D. Tukhtaboev
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nasaf have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mash'al have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Wahda FC(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Andijan(away) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Khalidiya(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bunyodkor(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Olmaliq(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 2-5 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nasaf wins, 1 draw, 1 Mash'al win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Mash'al 1-1 Nasaf | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Nasaf 1-2 Mash'al | Super League |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Mash'al 1-3 Nasaf | Super League |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Mash'al 0-1 Nasaf | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Mash'al 0-1 Nasaf | Super League |
| Jul 9, 2021 | Nasaf 1-0 Mash'al | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nasaf score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mash'al score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasaf | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mash'al | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nasaf sit 6th in Super League (37 points from 23 matches) and Mash'al sit 16th (4 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nasaf | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 48 | 4 |
A question about Nasaf vs Mash'al?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nasaf vs Mash'al?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nasaf the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Mash'al.
- Where and when is Nasaf vs Mash'al played?
- Nasaf vs Mash'al is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.