Match

NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

NEC NijmegenRennes

The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rennes. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate NEC Nijmegen (1,994) and Rennes (2,068).

41%27%32%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawRennes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
  1. 30B. Linssen
  1. 9T. Chery
  2. 20N. Lebreton
  3. 6D. Nejašmić
  4. 10D. Tadić
  5. 34Kevin Kers
  6. 77A. Thomas
  1. 21T. Storm
  2. 73Gabriel Brás
  3. 4P. Schuurs
  1. 1G. Crettaz

Rennes

4-3-3
  1. 9E. Lepaul
  2. 11Mousa Tamari
  3. 90I. Soumaré
  1. 28A. Thomasson
  2. 45M. Camara
  3. 21V. Rongier
  1. 4C. Cresswell
  2. 24A. Rouault
  3. 14B. Reynolds
  4. 18M. Nagida
  1. 30B. Samba

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Rennes have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NEC Nijmegen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Ajax(away)1-1Eredivisie
Sep 20, 2026GO Ahead Eagles(home)1-1Eredivisie
Sep 17, 2026Juventus(away)0-5UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Cambuur(away)0-3Eredivisie
Sep 8, 2026Excelsior(home)2-2Eredivisie
Rennes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Auxerre(home)4-1Ligue 1
Oct 2, 2026Laval(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Lyon(away)0-4Ligue 1
Sep 16, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-0UEFA Europa League
Sep 11, 2026Marseille(home)1-0Ligue 1

How many goals should we expect?

NEC Nijmegen score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rennes score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
NEC Nijmegen1.11.9110/1511/15
Rennes1.71.7211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NEC Nijmegen sit 36th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Rennes sit 19th (1 point from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Rennes1010001
36NEC Nijmegen1001050

A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes?
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rennes.
Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes played?
NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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