Geita Gold vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 2,001 Elo points against 1,485, a 516-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Geita Gold vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Geita Gold
4-3-3- 14D. Lyanga
- 9G. Mpole
- 7E. Godfrey
- 13A. Yassin
- 31Yusufu Valentine Mhilu
- 33M. I. Kassim
- 14C. Tebandeke
- 20T. Muhenga
- 3P. Datius
- 40K. Yondani
- 28S. Samson
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 21K. S. Haruna
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Azam(home) | 2-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Geita Gold wins, 1 draw, 5 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Simba 2-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 21, 2024 | Simba 4-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Geita Gold 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Geita Gold 0-5 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Simba 3-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 22, 2022 | Geita Gold 1-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 12th in Ligi kuu Bara (7 points from 7 matches) and Simba sit 1st (24 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Geita Gold vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs Simba played?
- Geita Gold vs Simba is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.